Barack Obama will win Ohio's electoral votes in the 2012 election.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known on 2012-11-07; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2011-11-11
- RobertLumley estimated 55% on 2011-11-11
- lavalamp estimated 45% on 2011-11-11
- gwern estimated 50% and said “basically the same thing as winning outright, I think…” on 2011-11-11
- JoshuaZ estimated 53% on 2011-11-12
- Qiaochu estimated 65% and said “65.4% on FiveThirtyEight. ” on 2012-10-14
- RandomThinker judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.