Iran will successfully launch a monkey into space by the end of 2012.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 75% on 2011-11-11
• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-11-11
• Tuxedage said “http://www.space.com/13270-iran-space-monkey-launch-failure.htmlNope. Attempt has failed. Marking this prediction wrong.” on 2013-01-13
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-13.