Flying cars will become the dominant form of transportation in at least one major world city by 2035.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known on 2035-01-01
- NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2011-11-11
- lavalamp estimated 15% on 2011-11-11
- gwern estimated 10% and said “flying cars have many issues; as cities get more packed, the issues become more severe” on 2011-11-11
- NathanMcKnight said “Computer control and sensing technology is already ubiquitous in commercial air travel, and adding a third dimension to the grid could reduce traffic density to the square route of current congestion levels. The main hurtle is perception. ” on 2011-11-11
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “Noise pollution, early singularity/collapse, and probably not the best solution for shuttling people around big cities. Some kind of personal pod transport seems a lot more practical.” on 2011-11-11
- PseudonymousUser said “pod transport on rails, that is” on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “@bobpage: I’d count airborne pod transport systems as “flying cars”. ” on 2011-11-12
- muflax estimated 0% on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav said “Why would you want to count ‘stuff that moves on rails in the sky’ as ‘flying cars’? The former don’t fly. Maybe you’re interested in 3-dimensional road systems rather than flying cars per se?” on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “I’m not counting rail systems. I’m strictly talking about free-flying vehicles, but I will count any form of free-flying vehicle, whether they’re billed as “cars”, “planes”, “pods” or whatever.” on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav estimated 20% and said “Ah, that wasn’t clear earlier; bobpage was talking about rail-borne systems. ” on 2011-11-12
- fork estimated 0% on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “…also, by “free flying” I don’t mean passenger-controlled. I simply mean not connected to any anchored structure. This tech will only pan out if it’s under 100% computer-control at all times.” on 2011-11-12
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 15% on 2011-11-15
- chemotaxis101 estimated 5% on 2011-11-15
- JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2011-11-15
- dr_freezy estimated 20% on 2011-11-17
- faws estimated 4% on 2011-11-18
- RobertLumley estimated 20% on 2011-11-18
- kilobug estimated 20% and said “I’m more seeing underground public transport (metro, Asimov’ like, …) for the future transportation in major cities. Flying cars seem too energy inefficient for short distances.” on 2011-11-19
- kilobug estimated 10% and said “20% was even too high…” on 2011-11-19
- Sniffnoy estimated 3% on 2011-11-23
- roshni estimated 5% on 2011-11-23
- roxton estimated 5% on 2011-11-25
- Tiresias estimated 0% on 2011-12-20
- RandomThinker estimated 10% on 2012-03-06
- RandomThinker estimated 5% on 2012-03-06
- Cy Fleming estimated 3% on 2012-04-20
- Pablo estimated 3% on 2012-10-01
- ygert estimated 1% on 2012-12-28
- Tuxedage estimated 3% on 2012-12-28
- Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-06-16
- Ken estimated 0% on 2013-06-18
- JoshuaZ estimated 9% on 2016-02-21
- themusicgod1 estimated 4% and said “Not enough time. Also, travel by swarms of drones will come first imho.” on 2016-10-09
- pranomostro estimated 5% on 2018-12-20
- deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26