“3D printing” will be a multi-billion dollar industry by 2021.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2011-11-12
- fork estimated 60% on 2011-11-12
- PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-11-12
- fork said “Why is everyone so confident?” on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “@fork: Because the pace of development over the last few years has been staggering. It’s probably already a million-dollar industry, or close to it. ” on 2011-11-12
- fork said “That’s no reason to be confident that it’ll grow by several orders of magnitude in 10 years.” on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav said “Seeing as 3D printing does hold several advantages over conventional manufacturing; it’s reasonable to expect widespread adoption in a short span of time. It’s a textbook example of disruptive innovation. ” on 2011-11-12
- fork said “Isn’t it seriously limited by the kinds of objects it can produce? E.g., 3D printers aren’t going to be making cars or computers soon—plastic crap, sure.” on 2011-11-12
- Anubhav said “The range of materials it can use has been expanding for decades now, no reason to expect that to stop. And you don’t need to produce complete computers or cars to make billions – computer parts and car parts should be enough.” on 2011-11-12
- gwern estimated 60% on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “At least one entire, working cell phone has been printed to date. ” on 2011-11-12
- fork estimated 70% on 2011-11-12
- fork estimated 55% and said “Couldn’t find anything about a 3d printer creating an entire cell phone” on 2011-11-12
- NathanMcKnight said “Printed cellphones have existed since 1999. Although this might not count as 3D printing, it does act as proof of concept. (http://inventors.about.com/library/weekly/aa022801a.htm))” on 2011-11-12
- PseudonymousUser said “I was confident because it’s already nearly a billion-dollar industry” on 2011-11-12
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-13
- Carokann estimated 70% on 2011-11-16
- TrE estimated 75% on 2011-11-16
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2011-11-20
- fnedrik estimated 80% and said “3D printing is already big business. Just not for home use yet.” on 2011-11-21
- Porejide estimated 85% on 2011-11-22
- Nic_Smith estimated 66% on 2011-11-23
- themusicgod1 said “http://3dprintingindustry.com/2015/08/24/new-study-confirms-3d-printing-market-grow-17-billion-2020/we’re already there.” on 2016-04-14
- themusicgod1 said “http://www.statista.com/statistics/315363/global-market-for-3d-priting-and-services/” on 2016-04-14
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2016-04-14.