Jack & Jill will earn 150% of its budget despite being a terrible film.
Created by fork on 2011-11-12; known on 2012-06-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-08-28.
- fork estimated 70% on 2011-11-12
- fork said “My confidence is primary founded on the success of Zookeeper.” on 2011-11-12
- gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_and_Jill_%28film%29 cost $80m, made $150m; 8*1.5=12; so it made >150%, which I assume was the intent. Marking right.” on 2012-08-28
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2012-08-28.