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Jack & Jill will earn 150% of its budget despite being a terrible film.

Created by fork on 2011-11-12; known on 2012-06-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-08-28.

  • fork estimated 70% on 2011-11-12
  • fork said “My confidence is primary founded on the success of Zookeeper.on 2011-11-12
  • gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_and_Jill_%28film%29 cost $80m, made $150m; 8*1.5=12; so it made >150%, which I assume was the intent. Marking right.on 2012-08-28
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-08-28.