MC will order modafinil within one month

Created by shokwave on 2011-11-12; known on 2011-12-12; judged wrong by shokwave on 2011-12-22.

• shokwave estimated 70% on 2011-11-12
• gwern estimated 60% and said “wonder if MC is really as experimental as you think” on 2011-11-12
• ultramarinefoil estimated 15% on 2011-11-21
• shokwave   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-22.