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The Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2012 Congressional Elections – Intrade

Created by fork on 2011-11-12; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

  • fork estimated 65% on 2011-11-12
  • fork changed their prediction from “The Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2012 Congressional Elections” on 2011-11-12
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 40% on 2011-11-12
  • RobertLumley estimated 75% on 2011-11-12
  • gwern said “link to market?on 2011-11-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-13
  • Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-11-13
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2011-11-15
  • JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Updating. Continued control looks more likely. on 2012-09-10
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.