The Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2012 Congressional Elections – Intrade

Created by fork on 2011-11-12; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

• fork estimated 65% on 2011-11-12
• fork changed their prediction from “The Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2012 Congressional Elections” on 2011-11-12
• NathanMcKnight estimated 40% on 2011-11-12
• RobertLumley estimated 75% on 2011-11-12
• gwern said “link to market?” on 2011-11-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-13
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-11-13
• chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2011-11-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Updating. Continued control looks more likely. ” on 2012-09-10
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.