Social Experiment: By 01-01-2012, the average estimate on this prediction will be greater than or equal to 75%.

Created by RobertLumley on 2011-11-15; known on 9999-01-02

• RobertLumley estimated 75% on 2011-11-15
• Anubhav estimated 50% on 2011-11-15
• AakashJain estimated 100% on 2011-11-15
• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-11-15
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 80% on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 89% on 2011-11-16
• RobertLumley withdrew the prediction on 2011-11-22
• RobertLumley changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2013-08-08