The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2011-11-15
• RobertLumley estimated 80% on 2011-11-15
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% and said “whoops, originally had this at 2050, but changed it” on 2011-11-15
• chemotaxis101 estimated 60% on 2011-11-15
• gwern estimated 83% on 2011-11-15
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-11-16
• kilobug estimated 80% on 2011-11-18
• faws estimated 90% on 2012-01-13
• Leo estimated 90% on 2012-01-25
• RandomThinker estimated 90% and said “Harder to add states now” on 2012-03-15
• spqr0a1 estimated 93% on 2012-03-16
• RandomThinker said “Puerto Rico is gonna screw up my calibration here” on 2012-11-09
• NathanMcKnight estimated 30% on 2012-11-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-11-11
• Ken estimated 80% on 2012-11-12
• Tuxedage estimated 70% on 2013-02-13
• themusicgod1 estimated 44% on 2016-04-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 45% on 2016-04-16
• Baeboo estimated 84% on 2018-12-12
• pranomostro estimated 67% on 2018-12-20
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-12-20
• amadeu estimated 80% on 2019-04-07
• eukaryotepredicts estimated 95% on 2019-04-09
• amadeu estimated 90% on 2019-05-07