Political Pirate movement becomes part of mainstream politics, causing major and concerete changes to governments and some industries, worldwide, before 2017
Created by Jonii on 2009-10-14; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-12.
- Jonii estimated 80% on 2009-10-14
- Jack judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
- Jack judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
- Jack judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
- Jack judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
- Jack estimated 15% on 2009-10-14
- Arenamontanus estimated 75% on 2009-10-14
- ChristianKl said “How will it be measured?” on 2009-10-15
- JFE estimated 65% on 2009-10-15
- Jonii said ““major and concrete” as in “if this happens, you won’t start debating whether it was major and concerete” :>” on 2009-10-15
- Pavitra estimated 2% and said “Some of their issues might be picked up by the mainstream, but they don’t present a credible style. Their goals might be achieved, but not by them.” on 2009-10-16
- prase judged this prediction right on 2009-10-16.
- prase judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-16.
- Jonii judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-16.
- Jonii said “The “worldwide”-part is probably going to cause problems. I was thinking mostly European countries when I made the prediction” on 2009-10-16
- PotatoDumplings estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
- jasticE judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
- jasticE judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
- jasticE estimated 40% on 2009-10-17
- Larks estimated 2% on 2009-10-17
- Chance estimated 40% and said ““World-wide” meaning “in the western world” and"major and concrete" meaning c. infringement for p. use being a civil matter” on 2009-10-20
- wasistdas estimated 3% on 2009-11-10
- gwern said “How many countries? How many governments? How many industries? Until this is specified…” on 2010-09-26
- jasticE estimated 7% on 2015-04-18
- themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-07-10
- Afforess estimated 0% and said “Nope. Cute prediction, but it turns out copyright matters little when there are major strains in infrastructure, defense, security, immigration, and trade in 1st world nations.” on 2016-10-06
- themusicgod1 said “couldn’t even get in power in iceland” on 2017-01-12
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-12.