The British High Court will rule in favor of the journal Nature in the libel case brought against it by Professor Mohamed El Naschie.

Created by Jason on 2011-11-15; known on 2012-06-30; judged right by gwern on 2012-09-09.

• Jason estimated 100% on 2011-11-15
• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-11-15
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 75% on 2011-11-15
• chemotaxis101 estimated 85% on 2011-11-15
• chimpsky estimated 67% on 2012-06-12
• Jason estimated 90% and said “I still think this is going to happen, but Mrs Justice Sharp is taking a ridiculously long time.” on 2012-07-01
• gwern said “they did indeed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohamed_El_Naschie#Nature_libel_case” on 2012-09-09
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-09-09.