“Lindsay Lohan will be dead within 2 years.”

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-16; known on 2013-11-16; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-16.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 4% on 2011-11-16
• Jayson Virissimo said “I overheard a coworker make this prediction.” on 2011-11-16
• fork estimated 5% on 2011-11-16
• gwern estimated 2% and said “very low odds of death at her age, even with the drug abuse” on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-11-16
• Jayson Virissimo said “Yeah, I tried to factor in the DUIs but I think I made a mistake.” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 2% on 2011-11-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 18% on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 estimated 1% and said “suicide possibility only. Everything else is null. Good try though.” on 2011-11-17
• pierot13 estimated 40% on 2011-11-17
• Tiresias estimated 5% on 2011-12-20
• holycow81 estimated 19% on 2013-07-21
• prototrout estimated 0% on 2013-10-04
• foo estimated 30% on 2013-10-04
• drobb estimated 3% on 2013-10-08
• alecbrooks estimated 2% on 2013-10-08
• adbge estimated 2% on 2013-10-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “Please don’t die in the next 36 hours” on 2013-11-15
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-16.
• Jayson Virissimo said “bobpage was really sticking his neck out on this one.” on 2013-11-16