By 2085 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 140

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-16; known on 2085-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 72% on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ said “Continuing list of predictions earlier of this form (prediction numbers 3847 to 3859) ” on 2011-11-16
• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-11-16
• Harbinger1 estimated 5% and said “Mmmm…. not likely. Possibly up tp 130, but not 140.” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-11-17
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26