By 2046 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 125

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-16; known on 2045-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 71% on 2011-11-16
• JoshuaZ said “Continuing longevity prediction list. ” on 2011-11-16
• RobertLumley estimated 80% on 2011-11-16
• gwern estimated 65% on 2011-11-16
• Harbinger1 estimated 5% and said “will happen sooner” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Harbinger, again, stating something happens “by” a certain date doesn’t mean it will have to happen on that date. This prediction is true if someone lives to 125 any time before 2046. ” on 2011-11-17
• kilobug estimated 80% on 2011-11-18
• Malgidus estimated 70% on 2013-03-27
• pranomostro estimated 67% on 2018-12-20
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-12-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 68% on 2018-12-20
• Baeboo estimated 70% on 2018-12-21
• deleteyourbrain estimated 50% on 2019-04-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 69% on 2019-04-26