Computers will become truely self-aware by 2029.

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2029-12-27

• Harbinger1 estimated 90% on 2011-11-17
• RobertLumley said “Definition?” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “You should fix the deadline which is apparently set as tomorrow. ” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Related predictions:http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2819 – AI by 2050. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2818 AI by 2028. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2817 – by 2018” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 16% on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-17” on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 changed their prediction from “Computers will become self-aware by 2029.” on 2011-11-17
• lavalamp estimated 12% on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 11% on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav said “Too vague. Does this mean ‘most computers will be self-aware’, or ‘There will be computers that will be self-aware’? What if it’s not the computer that’s self aware, but one of the many apps installed in it?” on 2011-11-18
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2018-12-19
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26
• deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26