Truly “Pilotless” air travel will be the standard in 2050.

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2050-12-16

• Harbinger1 estimated 80% on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-17
• NathanMcKnight estimated 75% on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 90% on 2011-11-17
• lavalamp estimated 40% on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 70% and said “hm, I thought we had a prediction about this already, but can’t find it. pretty sensible – human pilots pretty much handle only takeoff and landing, and military is massively advancing the drone state of the art” on 2011-11-17
• Isaac estimated 85% on 2011-11-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “Updating. ” on 2013-01-01
• Tuxedage estimated 70% and said “I think it’s likely, with automated cars likely being mainstream by then. However, I’m also compensating for the general human mistrust of purely automated machines. Humans will likely demand a pilot, even if we don’t need one.” on 2013-01-01
• Qiaochu estimated 50% on 2013-01-02
• Medea estimated 65% on 2015-10-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2018-12-20
• pranomostro said “@Tuxedage: I’d say that the period where humans demand a pilot will be before that.” on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26