Surgeries for 95% of the worlds medical problems will be drastically cost-reduced and available by 2028.

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2028-12-27

• Harbinger1 estimated 80% on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Can you be more specific? ” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Also, the date on this needs to be fixed. ” on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-17” on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 25% and said “bucking the trend of the last, like, 60 years for medical treatment to just get more and more expensive?” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav said “^That’s bound to happen sooner or later, Big Pharma can’t stay in control forever. But 2028 is probably too soon and the prediction is too vague. ” on 2011-11-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2012-04-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2018-12-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2018-12-20
• Baeboo estimated 16% on 2018-12-21
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26