The first truly human telepathic-link will occur in 2065 via a biometric implant.

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2065-12-01

• Harbinger1 estimated 75% on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “What does this mean? Also, do you mean in 2065 or by the end of 2065? ” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “What does this mean? Also, do you mean in 2065 or by the end of 2065? ” on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 changed the deadline from “on 2011-11-17” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 0% and said “Going with ‘in 2065’. Seeing as this is likely to be ~20 years past singularity, we’d have had telepathy for a long time already. ” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Interpreting this as exactly in 2065 and not before, assign a low probability to a Singularity, assign a high chance a if it occurs will wipe us out or render biological humans non-existent. Given no Sing, this seems likely to happen before 2065. ” on 2011-11-17
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2011-11-17
• lavalamp estimated 1% and said “way too specific” on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 1% and said “interpreting as ‘only in 2065 and not any year before’; see also by 2025: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4304” on 2011-11-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 0% on 2018-12-20
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2019-04-26