The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2045

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-17; known on 2046-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Spreading out expected timeline in context of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2729” on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 estimated 0% and said “Will happen sooner.” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “If will happen sooner than, then this should have a higher probability since prediction is “by end of 2045” not “in 2045.” In English, “by” is means “before this date” not “on this date”. ” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 100% on 2011-11-17
• lavalamp estimated 60% on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 45% on 2011-11-17
• kilobug estimated 50% on 2011-11-18
• Porejide estimated 70% on 2011-11-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 35% on 2018-12-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2019-04-26
• Baeboo estimated 55% on 2019-04-27