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The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2045

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-17; known on 2046-01-01

  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2011-11-17
  • JoshuaZ said “Spreading out expected timeline in context of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2729on 2011-11-17
  • Harbinger1 estimated 0% and said “Will happen sooner.on 2011-11-17
  • JoshuaZ said “If will happen sooner than, then this should have a higher probability since prediction is “by end of 2045” not “in 2045.” In English, “by” is means “before this date” not “on this date”. on 2011-11-17
  • Anubhav estimated 100% on 2011-11-17
  • lavalamp estimated 60% on 2011-11-17
  • gwern estimated 45% on 2011-11-17
  • kilobug estimated 50% on 2011-11-18
  • Porejide estimated 70% on 2011-11-22
  • themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-10-09
  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-10-10
  • pranomostro estimated 35% on 2018-12-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2018-12-20
  • deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
  • JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2019-04-26
  • Baeboo estimated 55% on 2019-04-27