60% of the worlds combustion engines will run on Biofuels by the end of 2022

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2022-12-31; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2022-12-31.

• Harbinger1 estimated 75% on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 changed the deadline from “on 2021-12-31” on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Do you mean combustion engines in automobiles? Arguably for example power plants that use oil and coal are “combustion engines”, and airplanes and boats also use combustion engines very similar to those used in cars. ” on 2011-11-17
• lavalamp said “…and what percentage of the fuel will be from biofuels? It’s already > 10% where I live…” on 2011-11-17
• gwern said “how would one judge this? this sort of dataset is pretty hard to find just randomly googling; did you have one in mind already?” on 2011-11-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-12-31.