PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will still be using prediction book by January 2012

Created by roshni on 2011-11-18; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-10.

  • roshni estimated 30% on 2011-11-18
  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-11-18
  • gwern said “last prediction recorded 2011-11-23 – you almost made it! but marking wrong” on 2012-02-10
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-10.