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The war in Israel-Plestine will end

Created by cheick on 2011-11-18; known on 2011-11-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-11-21.

  • cheick estimated 5% on 2011-11-18
  • kilobug estimated 99% and said “Pretty sure it’ll end one day. Maybe it’ll take until Earth is destroyed in a few billions of years, but it’ll end ;) Would be more meaningful with a deadline.” on 2011-11-18
  • JoshuaZ said “Deadline needs to be updated. Also, how do you define war in this context? Conflict is complicated. Israel and Fatah cooperate on some things for example. ” on 2011-11-18
  • JoshuaZ said “Also, could the spelling be fixed? ” on 2011-11-18
  • gwern estimated 0% and said “I haven’t heard news of an accord, so marking wrong” on 2011-11-21
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-21.