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HP MoR: Harry/Hermione will be the only romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.

Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.

  • Anubhav estimated 40% on 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav estimated 20% and said “Spotted another obvious one. on 2011-11-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542.on 2011-11-19
  • gwern estimated 15% and said “this sounds rather subjective. a lot of stuff in the background or with the minor characterson 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav said “Come to think of it, yes it is. How about: ‘Harry/Hermione will be the only ONSCREEN romantic pairing’?on 2011-11-20
  • Anubhav changed their prediction from “Harry/Hermione will be the only romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.” on 2012-04-09
  • lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 10% and said “Bear in mind the non-zero chance that the story will end before they themselves are old enough to be considered a romantic pairing.on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
  • from3004 estimated 30% on 2014-10-16
  • Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.

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