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HP MoR: Harry/Luna will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.

Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.

  • Anubhav estimated 20% on 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav said “Note: Betrothal-contract-like situations count.on 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542.on 2011-11-19
  • gwern estimated 25% on 2011-11-19
  • stephenh estimated 15% on 2011-11-19
  • Anubhav changed their prediction from “Harry/Luna will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.” on 2012-04-09
  • lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
  • Anubhav estimated 1% and said “Per reasoning on http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4534on 2012-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 15% on 2012-04-19
  • Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
  • from3004 estimated 20% on 2014-10-16
  • Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01on 2015-01-01
  • PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.