HP MoR: Harry/Luna will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.
Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.
- Anubhav estimated 20% on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Note: Betrothal-contract-like situations count.” on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542.” on 2011-11-19
- gwern estimated 25% on 2011-11-19
- stephenh estimated 15% on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav changed their prediction from “Harry/Luna will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.” on 2012-04-09
- lavalamp estimated 20% on 2012-04-10
- Anubhav estimated 1% and said “Per reasoning on http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4534” on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 15% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
- from3004 estimated 20% on 2014-10-16
- Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.