HP MoR: Methods of Rationality will have an arc/chapter involving Harry getting a harem.

Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-20; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by NancyLebovitz on 2015-01-01.

• Anubhav estimated 60% on 2011-11-20
• Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542” on 2011-11-20
• gwern estimated 50% and said “somewhat subjective, I guess… he already has enough female admirers to endanger his life” on 2011-11-20
• Anubhav said “Nah, that was just a horde of yaoi fangirls. Harry’s only female admirers as of now are Hermione (girlfriend), Tracey (never confessed to him or even tried to get his attention) and Ginny (yet to appear onscreen). <cotd>” on 2011-11-21
• Anubhav said “By contrast, the simplest situation I can think of that most people would agree to term a ‘harem’ (CLANNAD) involved 5 girls. And we really need a larger character limit for comments.” on 2011-11-21
• shokwave estimated 20% and said “Doesn’t feel like a direction EY will go in.” on 2011-11-25
• Anubhav said “EY does enjoy sprinkling his writing with random take-thats against fanfic tropes… ” on 2011-11-25
• Anubhav changed their prediction from “Methods of Rationality will have an arc/chapter involving Harry getting a harem.” on 2012-04-09
• lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
• DrDiaphanous estimated 5% on 2013-05-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2013-05-18
• Tuxedage estimated 5% on 2013-05-18
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
• NancyLebovitz   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.