There will be a new (canon) Haruhi anime by 2013.

Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-20; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

• Anubhav estimated 15% on 2011-11-20
• Anubhav said “by 2014: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4572 ; by 2015: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4573” on 2011-11-20
• gwern estimated 30% and said “we counting ONAs, OVAs, movies, or what? (Also Nichijou was a financial disappointment, so may see them go back to the Haruhi well early)” on 2011-11-20
• Anubhav said “Dear heavens, no way I’m counting something like a second season of Haruhi-chan as a hit. I should edit my predictions…” on 2011-11-21
• Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-01” and changed their prediction from “There will be a new Haruhi anime by 2013.” on 2011-11-21
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.