The US$ will touch parity with the Euro (1€=1US$) before the end of 2012

Created by herb on 2011-11-20; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-12-31.

• herb estimated 75% on 2011-11-20
• herb changed their prediction from “The US$ will be at parity with the Euro by the end of 2012” on 2011-11-20
• herb changed their prediction from “The US$ will touch parity with the Euro (1€=1US$) by the end of 2012” on 2011-11-20
• gwern estimated 50% and said “current 1.36; last parity mid-2010, for the first time in years” on 2011-11-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2011-11-20
• gimpf estimated 50% on 2011-11-20
• herb said “07 June 2010 1US$=1.19€ – 15 July 2008 1US$=1.59€ to give low and high since 2008” on 2011-11-21
• chemotaxis101 estimated 50% on 2011-11-26
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 35% and said “Financially that would be good news for me, but I wouldn’t bet on it.” on 2011-11-29
• Tiresias estimated 30% on 2011-12-20
• RandomThinker estimated 5% on 2012-05-05
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 5% on 2012-08-12
• dhoe estimated 15% on 2012-08-12
• Qiaochu estimated 1% on 2012-11-29
• Qiaochu   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-31.