Bayesian Induction will be proven to be merely a special case of analogical reasoning by 2014
- mjgeddes estimated 50% on 2009-10-14
- Jack estimated 10% on 2009-10-14
- othercriteria estimated 5% on 2009-10-15
- anonym judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-17.
- anonym judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
- anonym estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
- gwern said “I don’t know how one could even judge this.” on 2010-09-28
- gwern said “haven’t heard anything vaguely similar, so I guess I’ll just mark it wrong…” on 2014-01-08
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-08.
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction