My guinea pig will learn to move in a circle on command in 2 months time.

Created by roshni on 2011-11-23; known on 2012-01-30; judged wrong by roshni on 2012-03-05.

• roshni estimated 60% on 2011-11-23
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-11-23
• roshni said “Well, getting this prediction right depends on both my guinea pig’s patience and mine! One is completely unknown, and the other known to be rather low. So 60% is a high estimate, but let’s see.” on 2011-11-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-11-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 39% on 2011-11-23
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 49% on 2011-11-23
• procran estimated 20% on 2011-11-23
• Anubhav estimated 30% on 2011-11-23
• antsan estimated 10% and said “I don’t think guinea pigs are able to learn to do anything on command.” on 2011-11-23
• Anubhav said “…. In that case, I might have been a bit too hasty with my prediction. ” on 2011-11-23
• roshni said “I’m going by the claims on this website: http://guineapigagility.com/?id=369” on 2011-11-23
• PseudonymousUser said “YouTube has plenty of guinea pigs doing this” on 2011-11-23
• procran said “and the winner is….?” on 2012-02-28
• Anubhav said “Seeing as email notifications are working now, we just need to wait for the OP to read her mail.” on 2012-02-29
• roshni   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-05.