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baslisks will join #lesswrong any time in December

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-11-24; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by Jach on 2011-12-02.

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2011-11-24
  • gwern estimated 50% and said “‘baslisks’ isn’t in my #lesswrong at all, nor is a user named ‘basilisks’on 2011-11-24
  • shokwave estimated 25% and said “Seems to be content with IRCon 2011-11-25
  • PseudonymousUser said “note the # in #lesswrong meaning the IRC channelon 2011-11-25
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 95% and said “he joined 2011-11-24 and is probably sticking aroundon 2011-11-25
  • shokwave said “Ooops. Met him on IRC, assumed this was about him joining LessWrong.on 2011-11-26
  • Jach   judged this prediction right on 2011-12-02.
  • Jach said “Noticed him there Dec. 1st around 10:15PM PST.on 2011-12-02