baslisks will join #lesswrong any time in December
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-11-24; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by Jach on 2011-12-02.
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2011-11-24
- gwern estimated 50% and said “‘baslisks’ isn’t in my #lesswrong at all, nor is a user named ‘basilisks’” on 2011-11-24
- shokwave estimated 25% and said “Seems to be content with IRC” on 2011-11-25
- PseudonymousUser said “note the # in #lesswrong meaning the IRC channel” on 2011-11-25
- PseudonymousUser estimated 95% and said “he joined 2011-11-24 and is probably sticking around” on 2011-11-25
- shokwave said “Ooops. Met him on IRC, assumed this was about him joining LessWrong.” on 2011-11-26
- Jach judged this prediction right on 2011-12-02.
- Jach said “Noticed him there Dec. 1st around 10:15PM PST.” on 2011-12-02