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By 2035, the Voynich Manuscript will be determined to be written in an archaic form of a language or dialect currently spoken in Italy.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-24; known on 2035-01-01

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2011-11-24
  • gwern estimated 20% and said “more or less complete decipherment, once you’ve nailed the language. skeptical it will be deciphered at all (40%) and italian dialects are only a few of many proposed languages (30%); 12%, double to compensate for your apparent expertise.on 2011-11-24
  • JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2011-11-25
  • Anubhav estimated 20% on 2011-11-25
  • roxton estimated 15% and said “I think the odds of suddenly finding a Rosetta stone for these glyphs are far lower than 15%, but I have to balance that against the likelihood that NMK knows something I don’t.on 2011-11-25
  • Anubhav said “The nice thing about advances in information theory and computational linguistics is, our need for Rosetta stones decreases year on year.on 2011-11-26
  • Nic_Smith estimated 5% on 2011-11-27
  • themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-09
  • pranomostro estimated 35% on 2018-12-19
  • JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2018-12-19