Grognor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.

Created by gwern on 2011-11-30; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-11-30
• drethelin estimated 0% and said “who is grogor?” on 2011-11-30
• gwern changed their prediction from “Grogor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.” on 2011-11-30
• drethelin estimated 30% and said “but for serious” on 2011-11-30
• saturn estimated 4% on 2011-12-11
• Grognor estimated 0% on 2012-01-22
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-01.