The majority of Alcor cryopreservations as of 2011 will have maintained preservation continuity as of 2021.

Created by gwern on 2011-12-04; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2021-01-01.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2011-12-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2011-12-04
• Grognor estimated 85% and said “possible optimism bias on my part. lowered my own score slightly in compensation” on 2011-12-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2021-01-01.