James Randi will live to be 93 years old.

Created by Grognor on 2011-12-05; known on 2021-08-07; judged wrong by gav on 2020-11-10.

• Grognor estimated 54% on 2011-12-05
• gwern estimated 40% and said “odds are considerably against it. http://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html gives him avg 6.5 years, or <4 years short. WA: http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=life+expectancy+of+83+year+old+man but he’s a successful high status man” on 2011-12-05
• Grognor estimated 47% and said “found out he had cancer a few years ago, probably was adjusting too highly upward in the first place” on 2011-12-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2011-12-05
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2011-12-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2018-12-19
• telegrafista estimated 42% on 2019-02-14
• gav   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-10.