PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

gwern.net will be up and accessible with content in 2020.

Created by gwern on 2011-12-08; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2020-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 75% on 2011-12-08
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2011-12-08
  • Anubhav estimated 65% and said “I’m counting redirects to sites containing gwern’s content. on 2011-12-08
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2011-12-10
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
  • pranomostro estimated 80% on 2018-12-19
  • gwern said “oh ye of little faithon 2020-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.