Kasia Rivera will be found guilty of manslaughter for performing fatal penis enlargement procedure

Created by stephenh on 2011-12-10; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by Laurent Bossavit on 2016-03-12.

• stephenh estimated 65% on 2011-12-10
• stephenh said “http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2011/12/penis_enhancement_death.html” on 2011-12-10
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-12-11
• gwern said “http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/11/kasia-rivera-penis-injection_n_1874876.html trial still in progress apparently” on 2012-12-31
• stephenh changed the deadline from “on 2012-12-31” on 2012-12-31
• rebellionkid said “The records of this trial seem to have been wiped off the web which is very frustrating.” on 2014-10-09
• gwern said “that’s very strange. I can’t find anything either about any sentence either. News seems to just stop with the first trial hearings” on 2015-01-01
• Laurent Bossavit   judged this prediction right on 2016-03-12.