GJP: #1043 Will Lucas Papademos resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, or vacate the office of Prime Minister of Greece before 1 March 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-12-12; known on 2012-03-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-03-05.

• gwern estimated 65% on 2011-12-12
• gwern said “basic reasoning: WP says greek elections planned in February, and he wasn’t elected in the first place, so how is an economist doing the behest of selfish foreigners going to be elected?” on 2011-12-12
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-05.