GJP: #1044 Will the United Kingdom's Tehran embassy officially reopen by 29 February 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-12-12; known on 2012-03-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-03-05.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2011-12-12
• gwern said “diplomacy grinds slowly. note Israel’s Turkey ambassadors still aren’t back, AFAIK” on 2011-12-12
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• tuna   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-17.
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-12-17.
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-03-05.