GJP: #1045 Will a trial for Saif al-Islam Gaddafi begin in any venue by 31 March 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-12-12; known on 2012-04-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-04-03.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2011-12-12
• gwern said “I really don’t know. maybe they just want to let him rot in prison and avoid the public spectacle as the thieves fall out.” on 2011-12-12
• gwern made the prediction on 2011-12-14
• gwern said “Inklings is still broadcasting all questions, so screw it, there’s no point in me being all secret – it’s really annoying too” on 2011-12-14
• tuna   judged this prediction right on 2011-12-17.
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-12-17.
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-04-03.