GJP: #1049 Will Asif Ali Zardari resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, or vacate the office of President of Pakistan before 1 June 2012?

Created by gwern on 2011-12-14; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

• gwern estimated 35% on 2011-12-14
• gwern said “5 year term, elected in 2008, so I don’t think an election is scheduled until 2013?” on 2011-12-14
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-06-01.