Labour party will not win next UK General Election

Created by InTrade on 2009-10-14; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

• InTrade estimated 86% on 2009-10-14
• Arenamontanus estimated 90% on 2009-10-14
• JamesMiller estimated 86% on 2009-10-15
• prase estimated 61% on 2009-10-16
• Larks estimated 93% on 2009-10-17
• VoiceOfAuthority estimated 80% on 2009-10-20
• faws estimated 77% on 2009-10-22
• NineteenHalves estimated 87% on 2009-11-12
• VoiceOfAuthority estimated 75% on 2009-12-31
• Matt estimated 83% and said “Intrade: http://bit.ly/4N707j” on 2010-01-25
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.