The Bitcoin price will hit 5 $/฿ in December 2011.

Created by Mqrius on 2011-12-20; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by Mqrius on 2012-01-01.

• Mqrius estimated 40% on 2011-12-20
• Mqrius said “Background: It went from 3.2 to 4.1 today, after a long period of stability. The high point was 4.5.” on 2011-12-20
• gwern estimated 50% and said “dunno why it spiked so dunno where any natural ceiling would be” on 2011-12-20
• endoself estimated 20% on 2011-12-22
• Serge estimated 32% on 2011-12-22
• fergus estimated 50% on 2011-12-23
• Mqrius   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.
• Mqrius said “4.995 on the last possible day. Close, but no $5 :)” on 2012-01-01
• Mqrius said “Next one: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5054” on 2012-01-01