In 5 years parasitic power collection will have become a significant market (IBM “5 in 5” http://ibmresearchnews.blogspot.com/2011/12/ibm-5-in-5-creating-energy-from.html) – for concreteness take “significant” to be $1Bn

Created by Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20; known on 2016-12-20; judged wrong by Laurent Bossavit on 2018-02-25.

• Laurent Bossavit estimated 5% on 2011-12-20
• gwern estimated 50% and said “seems underdefined – tidal power is parasitic? lolwut every power collection is parasitic then” on 2011-12-20
• Laurent Bossavit said “No, despite the vagueness of the video, my intent is to target the “people power” part of the prediction.” on 2011-12-21
• Serge estimated 3% on 2011-12-22
• Laurent Bossavit   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-02-25.