Ron Paul will win the 2012 GOP nomination.

Created by selylidne on 2011-12-20; known on 2012-08-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-09-09.

• selylidne estimated 8% on 2011-12-20
• gwern said “dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3018” on 2011-12-21
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-09.