Michelle Bachmann will win the 2012 GOP nomination.

Created by selylidne on 2011-12-20; known on 2012-08-31; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-09-09.

• selylidne estimated 2% on 2011-12-20
• gwern said “dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3026” on 2011-12-21
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-09-09.