Steve Ballmer will be CEO of Microsoft at the end of 2012

Created by faws on 2011-12-21; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by faws on 2013-01-01.

• faws estimated 70% on 2011-12-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2011-12-21
• gwern estimated 75% and said “probably should go higher; if shareholders haven’t been able to force out ballmer yet, he’s not going any time soon” on 2011-12-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 66% on 2011-12-21
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2011-12-21
• endoself estimated 70% on 2011-12-22
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 90% on 2012-01-01
• gwern said “Cringely: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5185” on 2012-01-05
• Anubhav estimated 80% on 2012-01-06
• RandomThinker estimated 78% on 2012-05-19
• gimpf estimated 90% on 2012-05-19
• Ken estimated 90% on 2012-05-21
• davidiach estimated 90% on 2012-06-06
• faws   judged this prediction right on 2013-01-01.