Robin Hanson will publish a book before 2020

Created by gwern on 2011-12-28; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-09.

• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-12-28
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2012-01-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2012-06-16
• Pablo estimated 90% on 2015-02-10
• themusicgod1 said “…like the Age of Em?” on 2016-10-09
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction right on 2016-10-09.