Robin Hanson will publish a book before 2030

Created by gwern on 2011-12-28; known on 2030-01-01; judged right by Jayson Virissimo on 2016-06-14.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-12-28
• Jayson Virissimo said “Age of Em is now published.” on 2016-06-14
• Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction right on 2016-06-14.