In 10 years, mainland China's TI Corruption Perceptions Index will be lower (better) than the USA.

Created by gwern on 2011-12-28; known on 2021-12-28; judged wrong by gwern on 2021-12-29.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2011-12-28
• gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_Perceptions_Index China: 75, USA: 24 (lower is better)” on 2011-12-28
• Konkvistador estimated 2% on 2011-12-28
• endoself estimated 5% on 2011-12-31
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• gwern said “Last 2020 data in the WP link: USA: 25. China: 78. Not even remotely close.” on 2021-12-29
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-29.