Before 2013, the US embassy in Beijing will stop publicly reporting air pollution readings (at least one continuous month with no readings)

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-12-28; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 13% on 2011-12-28
• PseudonymousUser said “month means 720 hours; if there is no working US embassy in Beijing, that counts as no readings” on 2011-12-28
• gwern estimated 35% and said “their equipment could just break down, you know. they only have one setup in the embassy. maybe you should check whether there have been any breaks before…” on 2011-12-29
• Tuxedage said “As far as I can tell, this didn’t happen. Google didn’t report anything like this, so I’m marking it a “wrong”.” on 2013-01-13
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-13.